Boko Haram Attacks Increase Since Election Postponement and Crackdown, IHS Finds

Insight from IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre determined the number of attacks had risen by more than half at one point

Saturday, March 28, 2015 4:30 am EDT

Dateline:

London
"We also saw a 20 percent increase in the number of suicide attacks in this period."

LONDON, UK (28 March, 2015) – The number of Boko Haram attacks increased in the six weeks following the election postponement and intensified security crackdown, according to new research released today from IHS Inc. (NYSE: IHS), the leading global source of critical information and insight.

Attack data captured by IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre found that in the first three weeks after the election was postponed due to security concerns, 28 attacks took place. This was a steep 56 percent increase from the 18 attacks recorded in the three weeks preceding the election postponement.

After this initial spike in Boko Haram violence, the number of attacks remained relatively consistent. “If we compare the six weeks before the crackdown to the six weeks following it, the number of Boko Haram attacks increased,” said Matthew Henman, head of the IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre. “We also saw a 20 percent increase in the number of suicide attacks in this period.”

Attack location mapping shows shift

IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre, which collects and analyses open source information, has also geo-coded Boko Haram attacks.

“When we look at the pattern of Boko Haram attacks in Nigeria and neighboring countries of Cameroon, Niger and Chad, we can see a slight shift in location and their targeting patterns, with an increasing number of attacks in Niger and Chad following the launch of the multinational regional offensive against the group,” Henman said. “Boko Haram is also carrying out more indiscriminate bombings and less attacks targeting entire towns. The group is essentially ceding control of the territory it had previously seized and reverting to guerrilla operations and urban bombings.”

About the IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre
The database includes almost 200,000 events since 2009 and over 200 group profiles. It enables users to identify tactics, analyze trends, examine areas of operation and monitor developments globally. While IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre database coverage is broad and comprehensive, it operates within the typical constraints of open source information and can only document what is being reported. Information from social media that could not be verified through conventional and trusted news sources is not included in the data.

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Boko Haram by the Numbers - IHS Jane's Terrorism & Insurgency Centre Infographic