U.S. Natural Gas Production Falls Again in April, With Texas and Gulf of Mexico Production in Sharp Decline, IHS Markit Says

U.S. monthly natural gas production declines for second straight month, down nearly 3 percent year-over-year

Monday, May 15, 2017 12:37 pm EDT

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"While natural gas production averages for the Lower-48 were down in April by three percent compared to April 2016, the biggest surprise was the sharp declines in Texas and Gulf of Mexico production, which we’ve not seen since September 2008, when Hurricanes Gustav and Ike wreaked havoc on offshore platforms"

HOUSTON (May 15, 2017) – Lower-48 U.S. natural gas production averaged just 70.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) during April 2017—the lowest level in two months—but higher than production levels at the start of the year, according to analysis from IHS Markit (Nasdaq: INFO), a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions.

Texas, which in the past has been a leader in U.S. natural gas production, along with the Gulf of Mexico, experienced sharp production declines in both March and April, IHS Markit said, recording the state’s lowest production levels in nearly 10 years (since August 2007). Texas production dropped 0.1 Bcf/d in April after dropping 0.3 Bcf/d in March, averaging below 16 Bcf/d. Gulf of Mexico natural gas production averaged slightly more than 3 Bcf/d in April.

“While natural gas production averages for the Lower-48 were down in April by three percent compared to April 2016, the biggest surprise was the sharp declines in Texas and Gulf of Mexico production, which we’ve not seen since September 2008, when Hurricanes Gustav and Ike wreaked havoc on offshore platforms,” said Jack Weixel, vice president for analytics at PointLogic Energy. (PointLogic is a business unit of IHS Markit, which tracks U.S. production levels on a daily basis across 92 producing areas in the lower-48 states.). “Producers in the Gulf have recently shifted focus to deeper offshore drilling targeted at oil plays with lower associated gas production.”   

For 2017 to-date, Weixel said lower-48 gas production has averaged more than 70 Bcf/d, or 3.5 percent (2.4 Bcf/d) lower than the same period in 2016. April 2017 production was 0.2 percent (0.2 Bcf/d) below March 2017 levels, and nearly 3 percent (2.1 Bcf/d) lower than April 2016. Northeast production continues to inch higher—approaching 23 Bcf/d, which constitutes nearly 33 percent of total U.S. lower-48 production. Key producing areas in the Southeast U.S. have remained flat compared to levels recorded early this year.

“We see prices rising for natural gas, but the market is still sluggish in responding with new production, so the same dismal level of production persists for months on end,” Weixel said. “The treadmill has gotten steeper to replace existing production, which is in decline, particularly in shale producing areas.  So the rig count is going up, but production is still catching up.

PointLogic Energy derives real-time natural gas production data from publicly available interstate pipeline flow data in the lower-48 United States. The energy division at IHS Markit provides market insight and analytics for North American power, gas, coal and renewables.   

To speak with Jack Weixel, or for more information on PointLogic Energy or IHS Markit natural gas data and analytics, please contact Melissa Manning at melissa.manning@ihsmarkit.com.      

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U.S. natural gas production averages were down in April by three percent compared to April 2016, the biggest surprise was the sharp declines in Texas and Gulf of Mexico production, says IHS Markit