Islamic State Seeks to Increase Manpower – by Shifting Narrative on Women’s Role in Jihad, IHS Markit Says.

Dwindling pool of male militants leads the group to seek out untapped resource: female fighters.

Tuesday, September 5, 2017 4:00 am EDT

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"While Islamic State has used female suicide bombers in the past, it has not done so in the concentration seen in Mosul, where current estimates of female-led suicide bombings stand at more than 40"

LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Islamic State is urging women to become actively engaged in its battles, in a significant ideological move that highlights the group’s bid to increase its manpower, according to new analysis released today from Conflict Monitor by IHS Markit (Nasdaq:INFO), a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions.

Facing heavy attacks in Raqqa and Tal Afar and with rapidly shrinking revenues and territory, Islamic State’s decline appears almost irreversible, IHS Markit says. In the wake of depleting numbers of male militants, the group has begun to adjust its narrative to appeal to an untapped resource – female fighters.

“Despite Islamic State’s claims to the contrary, urging women to seek an active role in combat is most likely an attempt to reduce the impact of severe manpower shortages caused by the decimation of male fighters, and a recruitment crisis,” said Ludovico Carlino, senior analyst, Middle East and North Africa at Conflict Monitor by IHS Markit.

“While Islamic State has used female suicide bombers in the past, it has not done so in the concentration seen in Mosul, where current estimates of female-led suicide bombings stand at more than 40,” Carlino said. “It is as yet unclear whether the spike in female suicide bombings is simply a result of the final pockets of Islamic State resistance or women compelled by the group to execute those attacks, or whether it represents the beginning of a wider trend of female fighters willing to take part in the group’s battles.”

Foreign fighters’ wives and widows targeted

Islamic State’s online magazine Rumiyah indicates a revisal of previous messaging surrounding the role of women (Issue 11, released July 13). In an article entitled ‘Our Journey to Allah’, the author (likely a woman) emphasizes that the role of women is of increased importance, as “ahead of us await times of intense trials and extreme hardships, and times of severe battles”.

Rumiyah magazine is released in several western languages, including French, German and English, indicating that this call is primarily directed at a Western audience, likely the wives and widows of foreign fighters still living in the group’s self-proclaimed Caliphate.

“This rhetoric marks a stark contrast to previous propaganda that had highlighted women’s primary function as wives and mothers of mujahidin,” Carlino said. “Historically, women have been absent from Caliphate institutions, with the single exception of an all-female brigade responsible for policing women in Raqqa – enforcing non-Islamic dress infringements and ensuring that women only leave their house when accompanied by a male relative.”

Meet Jane’s at DSEI 2017

Jane’s is hosting a complimentary briefing at DSEI 2017 on “Future threats, missions and capabilities” that will discuss emerging terrorism threats in the West in the wake of the Islamic State.

To request attendance, visit https://www.ihs.com/events/janes-ns-briefing-2017/overview.html

About  Conflict Monitor

Conflict Monitor by IHS Markit is an open-source intelligence collection and analysis service. It generates unique data-driven insights on the conflict in Iraq and Syria, combining unrivalled information collection with advanced analytical tools, and analysis by Jane’s security experts.

Visit the website to learn more about the service and request a demonstration: https://www.ihs.com/products/conflictmonitor.html or get in touch here.

About IHS Markit (www.ihsmarkit.com)

IHS Markit (Nasdaq:INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 key business and government customers, including 85 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world’s leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth.

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